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Israel-Hezbollah escalation: The Future of Gaza Cease-fire and Iran Conflict


Over the weekend, there was a series of cross-border attacks between Israel and Hezbollah, fueling fears of all-out war. Israel launched pre-emptive strikes on southern Lebanon after detecting preparations for a large-scale attack by Hezbollah, who retaliated by firing rockets and drones at Israel. However, both sides signaled that they did not want a full-scale war at this time. The escalation came amidst ongoing talks in Cairo to negotiate a deal between Israel and Hamas to end the fighting in Gaza and secure the release of hostages. Despite the talks ending without a final agreement, they are expected to continue at lower levels to close remaining gaps in negotiations. A former Israeli intelligence official noted that the recent violence could bring some calm to the region and possibly end the anxious period of waiting for retaliatory strikes leading to all-out war. The United States also expressed hope for efforts to secure a ceasefire in Gaza, and Iran vowed definitive retaliation against Israel. Overall, while the weekend’s events raised tensions in the region, it seems that both Israel and Hezbollah are not currently interested in a full-scale war.

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